The determinant of periodicity in Mycoplasma pneumoniae incidence: an insight from mathematical modelling
Ryosuke Omori; Yukihiko Nakata; Heidi L. Tessmer; Satowa Suzuki; Keigo Shibayama · 2015 · Scientific Reports
WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate
The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.
Abstract
Until the early 1990 s, incidences of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) infection showed three to five year epidemic cycles in multiple countries, however, the mechanism for the MP epidemic cycle has not been understood. Here, we investigate the determinant of periodicity in MP incidence by employing a mathematical model describing MP transmission dynamics. Three candidates for the determinant of periodicity were evaluated: school-term forcing, minor variance in the duration of immunity, and epidemiological interference between MP serotypes. We find that minor variation in the duration of immunity at
Abstract by Ryosuke Omori; Yukihiko Nakata; Heidi L. Tessmer; Satowa Suzuki; Keigo Shibayama, Scientific Reports (2015) — licensed CC BY 4.0.
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Metadata source: OpenAlex · DOI 10.1038/srep14473