Do Inflation Expectations Improve Model‐Based Inflation Forecasts?
Marta Bańbura; Danilo Leiva‐León; Jan-Oliver Menz · 2026 · Journal of money credit and banking
WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate
The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.
Abstract (excerpt)
Abstract Those of professional forecasters do. For a wide range of time‐series models for the euro area and its member states, we find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from…
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Metadata source: OpenAlex · DOI 10.1111/jmcb.70098