Spatiotemporal Dengue Forecasting for Sustainable Public Health in Bandung, Indonesia: A Comparative Study of Classical, Machine Learning, and Bayesian Models
I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya; Yudhie Andriyana; Bertho Tantular; Sinta Septi Pangastuti; Farah Kristiani · 2025 · Sustainability
WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate
The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.
Abstract
Accurate dengue forecasting is essential for sustainable public health planning, especially in tropical regions where the disease remains a persistent threat. This study evaluates the predictive performance of seven modeling approaches—Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Convolutional LSTM (CNN–LSTM), and a Bayesian spatiotemporal model—using monthly dengue incidence data from 2009 to 2023 in Bandung City, Indonesia. Model performance was asse
Abstract by I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya; Yudhie Andriyana; Bertho Tantular; Sinta Septi Pangastuti; Farah Kristiani, Sustainability (2025) — licensed CC BY 4.0.
About to run something similar?
Run an AI Precheck on your own design to catch failure modes like this one before you spend the time. Your first desk check is free.
Related failures
A Randomized Trial of Intraarterial Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke
Negative / Null Result ReportDuodenal Infusion of Donor Feces for Recurrent Clostridium difficile
Negative / Null Result ReportStenting versus Endarterectomy for Treatment of Carotid-Artery Stenosis
Negative / Null Result ReportEffects of Combination Lipid Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Replication FailureA Randomized Trial of Bevacizumab for Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma
Negative / Null Result ReportSpironolactone for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction
WASTE indexes this work — it does not host or republish it. Failure-type classification is automated and approximate.
Metadata source: OpenAlex · DOI 10.3390/su17156777
