Dynamic Relationship Analysis between Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth in Afghanistan: An ARDL Model Approach
Karimullah Mohammadi; Mohammad Mahfoz Faqiri · 2026 · Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities
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Abstract
The purpose of this study is to examine the interrelationship among foreign direct investment (FDI), exports, imports, and economic growth in Afghanistan during the period 2002–2023. To achieve this objective, annual time series data and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) econometric model were employed. The estimation results indicate that the negative and statistically significant coefficient of the error correction term (-0.2694) reflects an adjustment speed of approximately 27 percent of short-term deviations in gross domestic product (GDP) toward long-term equilibrium in each perio
Abstract by Karimullah Mohammadi; Mohammad Mahfoz Faqiri, Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities (2026) — licensed CC BY 4.0.
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Metadata source: DOAJ · DOI 10.62810/jssh.v3i2.183