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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessPolitical science (General)

Limited backlash? Assessing the geographic scope of electoral responses to refugees

Jeremy Ferwerda; Sascha Riaz · Political Science Research and Methods

WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate

The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.

The finding, in one line

We challenge this null result by drawing on granular data from Berlin in the wake of the Syrian refugee crisis.

Abstract

Recent research suggests that local exposure to refugees does not increase support for far-right parties. We challenge this null result by drawing on granular data from Berlin in the wake of the Syrian refugee crisis. While prior work in the German context has generally assumed that refugee exposure is exogenous at the local level, we demonstrate that refugee housing was disproportionately concentrated in neighborhoods with young, non-citizen residents. To address this selection bias, we harmonize in-person and mail-in precinct boundaries across elections and implement a difference-in-differen

Abstract by Jeremy Ferwerda; Sascha Riaz, Political Science Research and Methods — licensed CC BY 4.0.

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Metadata source: DOAJ · DOI 10.1017/psrm.2025.10061