Testing Intuition-Based and Prediction Market-Based Forecasting: A Preregistered Study Using Financial Prediction Tasks
Boscariol R; Tressoldi P · 2026 · Preprint
WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate
The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.
Abstract (excerpt)
This preregistered study is a replication and extension of prior exploratory work comparing an Intuition Market (IM) with a traditional Prediction Market (PM) in forecasting binary financial outcomes. A previous exploratory study suggested…
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Metadata source: Europe PMC · DOI 10.31234/osf.io/4g5me_v1